Global changes including land-use and climate changes have already induced important biodiversity modifications, including poleward range shifts and declines in abundance of species. The spatial reshuffling of biodiversity question the role played by species dispersal ability and population connectivity in these dynamics.
To achieve this, we develop a multi-species and spatially explicit model of metapopulation dynamics accounting for climate and habitat drivers. We calibrate this model at a national scale using large monitoring databases (French Breeding Bird Survey) involving common bird species for the period 2001 – 2008. In particular, the model estimates for each species their level connectivity.